It’s no wonder this matchup has the highest over/under of the week, as the Seahawks love to play fast, and the Bills have Josh Allen playing at the peak of his considerable powers. The Bills are road favorites after shellacking the Titans at home, but the Seahawks are coming off their most complete win of the season against Atlanta.
Seattle will likely be without lead receiver Metcalf, who is now week-to-week with an MCL sprain. That throws a wrench into the Seahawks’ offensive game plan, as they have the lowest called run rate in the league and use shifts three times more often than the NFL average.
With Metcalf out, Kenneth Walker III will likely see more work, and Seattle’s early-down formations will be something to watch. The Seahawks lead the league in empty formations on first and second down, but with an increased need on the ground, their preferred offensive style could be put on hold. Geno Smith is the NFL leader in pass attempts and yards, but his numbers could take a hit out of necessity.
Speaking of numbers, how about zero? That’s Allen’s interception total in 189 pass attempts this season. The 28-year-old trails only Daniels in EPA per dropback and has the best passer rating of his career. With Cooper now in the fold, his air numbers should only improve.
Allen’s legs remain disastrous for defenses. He boasts the league’s second-best rushing EPA, ahead of Henry and behind only Daniels. James Cook pairs perfectly with Allen out of the backfield, and Seattle’s soft run defense should be particularly exploitable for the duo.
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Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks odds
How to watch Bills vs. Seahawks
- Venue: Lumen Field — Seattle
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Streaming: Fubo (try for free)
Expert picks for Bills vs. Seahawks
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(Photo of Josh Allen: Alex Slitz / Getty Images)